GGOALVIO

Aparecidense logoAparecidensevsGama logoGama

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Aparecidense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gama are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gama

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AparecidenseLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GamaDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
AparecidenseGama
38.9Attack62.7
52.8Defence74.5
38.9Form76.5
45.3Power71.9
0.59xG1.76
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