Aparecidensevs
Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Aparecidense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gama are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00