GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 4/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ypiranga-RS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

AO Itabaiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Serie C, while Ypiranga-RS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ypiranga-RS

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Ypiranga-RS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AO ItabaianaLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ypiranga-RSDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AO ItabaianaYpiranga-RS
27.1Attack45.8
58.3Defence58.3
35.4Form50.0
42.9Power52.6
0.70xG1.08
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