AO Itabaianavs
Floresta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AO Itabaiana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Floresta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Floresta hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.5% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
23.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00