GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

AO Itabaiana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Floresta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Floresta hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.5% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

23.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AO ItabaianaLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FlorestaLWDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AO ItabaianaFloresta
27.1Attack35.4
58.3Defence60.4
35.4Form43.8
42.9Power49.4
0.68xG0.82
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