GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Antigua GFC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Real Estelí are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 67.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 12.9% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

27.0%

Model confidence

12.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Antigua GFCLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real EstelíWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Antigua GFCReal Estelí
16.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power88.7
1.10xG1.65
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