GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antigua GFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Antigua GFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guastatoya are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antigua GFC hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Liga Nacional, while Antigua GFC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antigua GFC

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Antigua GFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Antigua GFCLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GuastatoyaLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Antigua GFCGuastatoya
46.5Attack43.0
69.3Defence62.3
61.4Form43.9
60.4Power50.3
1.16xG0.70
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