GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/14/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Marathon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Antigua GFC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CD Marathon are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CD Marathon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Marathon

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

13.8%

CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Antigua GFCWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CD MarathonDWDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Antigua GFCCD Marathon
16.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
21.5Power45.3
1.20xG1.40
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