Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paris FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Angers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Paris FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paris FC hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Paris FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paris FC
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
10.6%
Paris FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80