Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Angers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Creteil are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Angers hold a 48.0-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Angers holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Angers
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Angers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60