Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Andranik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Andranik are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shirak II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Andranik hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the First League, while Andranik holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Andranik
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
10.2%
Andranik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60