Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Andijan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pakhtakor are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pakhtakor hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Super League, while Pakhtakor holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
14.1%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00