Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Andijan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Neftchi are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Super League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
15.7%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60