GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Boulogne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtLWDDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BoulogneLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AnderlechtBoulogne
83.3Attack44.4
61.1Defence27.8
72.2Form27.8
71.6Power36.0
3.38xG1.08
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