Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Puebla W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold an 83.8-point power-rating edge (93.0 v 9.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
9.3%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20