América RJvs
Pouso Alegre
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
América RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and América RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Serie D, while América RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América RJ
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
16.6%
América RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80