América RJvs
Portuguesa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
América RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portuguesa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Portuguesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20