América RJvs
Goytacaz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 6/23/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
América RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Goytacaz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and América RJ hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 10.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Copa Rio, while América RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América RJ
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
América RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20