Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Šamorín are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Humenné are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šamorín hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the 2. liga, while Šamorín holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60