GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ammerthal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ammerthal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fortuna Regensburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ammerthal hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Ammerthal holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ammerthal

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

12.9%

Ammerthal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AmmerthalWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fortuna RegensburgWLLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmmerthalFortuna Regensburg
33.3Attack50.0
75.0Defence41.7
58.3Form25.0
58.8Power40.3
1.64xG1.10
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