Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ammerthal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bayreuth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayreuth hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00