GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colwyn Bay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ammanford AFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colwyn Bay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colwyn Bay hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Premier League, while Colwyn Bay holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colwyn Bay

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

Colwyn Bay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ammanford AFCLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Colwyn BayWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ammanford AFCColwyn Bay
50.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power68.0
1.37xG1.74
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