Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quevilly · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Amiens are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Quevilly are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Quevilly hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (25.5 v 29.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Quevilly holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quevilly
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Quevilly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60