Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Amiens are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Gobelins are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (25.5 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60