GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

America SP are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Paulista Série B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America SPWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Itaquá Athletico ClubeWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
America SPItaquá Athletico Clube
51.0Attack68.8
80.4Defence75.0
66.7Form79.2
66.9Power74.2
0.85xG1.02
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