GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sport Recife are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sport Recife

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sport RecifeDWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
America MineiroSport Recife
23.8Attack41.3
47.6Defence69.8
17.5Form50.8
32.0Power56.3
0.43xG1.28
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