America Mineirovs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sport Recife are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Serie B, while Sport Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sport Recife
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Sport Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40