GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 8/16/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.7% in the Serie B, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

25.7%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
America MineiroAthletic Club
23.8Attack31.7
47.6Defence70.0
17.5Form46.7
32.0Power52.5
0.43xG0.97
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