GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/16/2026, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

America de Cali are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Primera A, while America de Cali holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America de Cali

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

18.3%

America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America de CaliWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fortaleza FCWLDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
America de CaliFortaleza FC
50.0Attack37.7
72.2Defence55.1
59.7Form39.1
60.1Power46.3
1.51xG0.55
View match centre →