Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amazulu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Amazulu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Siwelele are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Amazulu hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Premier Soccer League, while Amazulu holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Amazulu
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
15.8%
Amazulu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40