Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Amazonas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Maranhão are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.0 against 49.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20