AmarantevsLusitânia Lourosa

Amarante are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lusitânia Lourosa hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Segunda Liga, while Amarante holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.