GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alverca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alverca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CF Os Belenenses are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alverca hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alverca holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alverca

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Alverca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlvercaWLDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CF Os BelenensesDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlvercaCF Os Belenenses
11.1Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power23.7
1.67xG1.45
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