GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Worcester City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alvechurch are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Worcester City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Worcester City hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Worcester City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Worcester City

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

12.5%

Worcester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlvechurchLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Worcester CityDDDLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AlvechurchWorcester City
41.5Attack50.8
40.7Defence65.1
36.6Form50.0
42.4Power55.8
0.90xG1.72
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