GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alvechurch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Alvechurch are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Needham Market are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvechurch hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Alvechurch holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alvechurch

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

12.6%

Alvechurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlvechurchWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Needham MarketWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlvechurchNeedham Market
50.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power51.0
1.64xG1.27
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