Alvechurchvs
Needham Market
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alvechurch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Alvechurch are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Needham Market are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvechurch hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Alvechurch holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alvechurch
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
12.6%
Alvechurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80