Alvaradovs
Villa Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alvarado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60