GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alvarado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Germinal de Rawson are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlvaradoLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Germinal de RawsonWDDLW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AlvaradoGerminal de Rawson
40.7Attack26.3
87.0Defence70.2
61.1Form43.9
63.2Power48.3
0.82xG0.31
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