Alumni Los HornosvsControl Orientado

Alumni Los Hornos are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Control Orientado are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Control Orientado hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.