Aluminijvs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aluminij · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aluminij are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aluminij hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aluminij holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aluminij
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Aluminij has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40