Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piauí · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Altos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Piauí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Piauí hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie D, while Piauí holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Piauí
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Piauí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60