GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/23/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Altona Magic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hume City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Altona MagicWLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hume CityWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Altona MagicHume City
37.5Attack66.7
45.8Defence55.6
37.5Form63.9
42.6Power63.3
1.02xG2.14
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