Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sasel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Altona 93 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sasel are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (23.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Sasel holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sasel
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Sasel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 22 · avg 2.00/4.40