GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Garliava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Alternatyvus FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Garliava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Cup, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Garliava

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alternatyvus FKWLWWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GarliavaLDWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alternatyvus FKGarliava
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power57.3
2.03xG2.80
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