Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zhetysu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.9 against 38.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60