Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60