Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ordabasy are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60