GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Altay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AltayLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltayFK Tobol Kostanay
28.6Attack35.0
49.2Defence53.3
27.0Form36.7
37.9Power43.8
0.84xG0.99
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