Altavs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 6/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Alta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80