Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Alta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40