GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almirante Brown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 11% BTTS chance and 4% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almirante BrownDLWWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezWDWDD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Almirante BrownTristan Suarez
26.4Attack33.3
81.9Defence82.6
52.8Form60.9
56.1Power61.0
0.37xG0.41
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