GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almirante Brown are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almirante BrownWDDDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Almirante BrownCiudad de Bolívar
26.4Attack29.2
81.9Defence70.8
52.8Form47.2
56.1Power51.6
0.51xG0.35
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