Almirante Brownvs
Ciudad de Bolívar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Almirante Brown are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
43.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40