GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almirante Brown are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CA Estudiantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

44.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almirante BrownDWWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CA EstudiantesWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Almirante BrownCA Estudiantes
26.4Attack27.8
81.9Defence72.2
52.8Form44.4
56.1Power50.0
0.49xG0.33
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