Almirante Brownvs
CA Estudiantes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 7/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Almirante Brown are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CA Estudiantes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
44.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60