GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Almere City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Almere City FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Jong PSV U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jong PSV U21 hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Eerste Divisie, while Almere City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Almere City FC

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

9.0%

Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almere City FCDLWWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jong PSV U21WLLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Almere City FCJong PSV U21
67.4Attack100.0
46.2Defence33.3
51.5Form100.0
55.2Power80.3
2.08xG1.74
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